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|2023 03 15 TMT/5-10 2025 45%GDP 40%2022 6 150 7800%264 5.4 31220 3.8 25138 3.6%1m 6m 12m 25.7 11.1 27.7 15.6 1 AI 20230312 2023-03-12 2 2023-03-05 3 20230305 2023-03-04 S1090518120002 S1090521040001-30-20-1001020Mar/22 Jul/22 Oct/22 Feb/23(%)计算机 沪深300 2.5.8 1.8 2.10.12 1.12 2.14.16 1.16 2.18 3 APP.21 3.1.21 3.2.23.25 1.25 2 CAD.27 3 ERP BIP.28 4 IDC.30 5.31 6 SMOM.32 1.6 2.6 3.8 4.8 5.8 6 2020.9 7 2020.9 YWBYxOrMpMnMsMsRmRtMrQ8O9R9PnPoOmOnOlOpPtQlOqRrPbRpPzQNZsPoNvPmRmP 3 8.9 9.9 10.10 11.11 12 5-7.11 13 SAP ERP PLM.12 14.14 15.15 16.16 17.17 18 5G.17 19.17 20 18-20 CAGR.18 21.18 22.20 23.21 24.21 25.22 26 2019 CAD.22 27.22 28 2019 MES.22 29.23 30 2019 ERP.23 31.25 32.26 33 2017-2022H1.26 34 2017-2022H1.26 35 2017-2022H1.27 36 2017-2022H1.27 37 ERP PLM MES.28 38.29 39 2021.30 4 40.30 41 2017-2022H1.31 42 2022H1.31 43 2017-2022H1.32 44 2022H1.32 45 2017-2022H1.33 46.33 1.5 2.7 3.7 4.10 5 DCS PLC.12 6.13 7.15 8.18 9.19 10.19 11.20 12.21 13 VS.23 14.24 15 CAD.24 16 APP APP.25 17.27 18.29 19.30 20.31 21.32 5 5-10 2023 2 27 2022 1 2025 45%2020 1 2022.01 2025 45%206%2020.03 6 20 2019.12()()2019.11 5 12 2019.07 2020 2025 2018.12 2020 2018.07 2020 10 2018.06 2018-2020 2020 2018.04 APP 2018-202 APP 2020 30 APP 2018.02 2017.11+2015.05 2025 2025 2035 21 6 1“”2 1 2 7 2 1 2 3 Lidara Lidar DEM 9 100 5 D3OS 20 2022 7 8 28 DRs OpenSchemas 6 15 2712 DRs 2023 2 25 3 1 GDP 40%2018 30 2022 40 40.16 2000-2022 9.01%2021 19.99%4 5 Wind 0%2%4%6%8%10%12%14%16%051015202530354045工业增加值(万亿元)YoY19.99%0%5%10%15%20%25%中国工业增加值占全球工业增加值比 重 9 1 2 3 15-64 2012 74.10%2021 68.30%8%6 2020 7 2020 2020 8 9 1 2 3 4 0102030405060美国 日本 法国 德国 英国 韩国 中国质量效益 结构优化54.90%59.80%67%76.50%88.30%0%20%40%60%80%100%汽车制造业计算机、通信和其他电子电气机械和器材制造业专用设备制造业通用设备制造业一级及以下 二级 三级 四级及以上64%66%68%70%72%74%76%0200004000060000800001000001200001400001600000-14 岁人口(万人)15-64 岁人口(万人)65 岁及以上人口(万人)15-64 岁人口占比14.40%11.89%10.08%9.47%10.06%8.93%9.99%10.89%9.81%7.60%9.71%0%2%4%6%8%10%12%14%16%020000400006000080000100000120000城镇单位就业人员平均工资(元)YoY 10 10 4 2 11 11 iFind 6 2019 12 5-7 iFind-5.00%0.00%5.00%10.00%15.00%20.00%25.00%30.00%35.00%2000-022000-082001-022001-082002-022002-082003-022003-082004-022004-082005-022005-082006-022006-082007-022007-082008-022008-082009-022009-082010-022010-082011-022011-082012-022012-082013-022013-082014-022014-082015-022015-082016-022016-082017-022017-082018-022018-082019-022019-082020-022020-082021-022021-082022-022022-08工业企业:产成品库存:同比-5%0%5%10%15%20%25%30%35%-80%-60%-40%-20%0%20%40%60%80%100%120%140%2008-01-312008-06-302008-11-302009-04-302009-09-302010-02-282010-07-312010-12-312011-05-312011-10-312012-03-312012-08-312013-01-312013-06-302013-11-302014-04-302014-09-302015-02-282015-07-312015-12-312016-05-312016-10-312017-03-312017-08-312018-01-312018-06-302018-11-302019-04-302019-09-302020-02-292020-07-312020-12-312021-05-312021-10-312022-03-312022-08-312023-01-31叉车销量:当月同比 产量:工业机器人:当月同比产量:交流电动机:当月同比 产量:金属切削机床:当月同比工业企业:产成品存货:同比(右轴)领先7 个月领先8 个月领先5 个月 领先7 个月 12 1 1 20 70 DCS PLC 5 DCS PLC DCS 1975 PLC 1973 1975-1980 GE 1969 1975-1980 1973 20 80 1985 2 80 ERP CAD SAP Oracle 13 SAP ERP PLM SAP 13 1 20 90 SAP PLM 2 2012 2012 SAP GE MindSphere MindSphere SCADA DCS MES MOM PLM ERP(QM)(SCM)3000 100 MindSphere 6 4.0 2012 2013 2017 2018 5.0 APP 5G/2022 10 16 2021 2300+700+2025 750+GDP 3.5%2025 85%2027 5G 2030 99%2021 219 14 14 2 1 1981 DCS 90 DCS PLC 2007 DCS 2011 DCS 2 20 90 ERP 21 SAP Oracle YonBIP ERP SCM MES 2017 2021 2022 6 150 7800 15 7 40%AIoT 50%+15 1 2 3 16/16 1“5 G+”2021 50%17 17“5G+”4G 5G 4G 60-98ms 5ms 5G 4G 5G“5G+”5G 2019 5G 2022 5G 231 CAGR148.87%5G 2019 2022 500 18 5G 19 71%67%48%46%0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%覆盖范围 稳定性 连接数量 时延1577142.5231.2413.33%85.06%62.25%0%50%100%150%200%250%300%350%400%450%0501001502002502019 2020 2021 20225G 基站数量(万)同比增长0.00%20.00%40.00%60.00%80.00%100.00%120.00%0200400600800100012002018 2019 2020 2021 2022Q3中国电信(亿元)中国移动(亿元)中国联通(亿元)中国电信YoY中国移动YoY 中国联通YoY 18 8“5 G+”guocheng 2 PaaS SaaS IDC 45%2018-2020 CAGR 60%-100%5%100%2022 6 150 7800 20 18-20 CAGR 21 IDC IDC 1 90%2 ICT 5%45%25%20%0%5%10%15%20%25%30%35%40%45%50%100%60%-100%30%-60%30%1.361.982.633.514.515.6145.8%32.6%33.5%28.4%24.3%0.0%5.0%10.0%15.0%20.0%25.0%30.0%35.0%40.0%45.0%50.0%01234562020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025中国工业互联网平台及应用解决方案市场预测(十亿美元)YoY 19 ICT 9 ICT ICT ICT ICT 10 FusionPlant 2017.8 30 ICT 2019.4 5G 5G AI-supET 2018.11 25 xln3Plat 2020.8 MES ERP ePlat iPlat ROOTCLOUD 2017.2 20 know-how ICT know-how ICT 11 FusionPlant 34 SAP 1000 APP2400+900+240+10 4000+APP 6.7-41.3 260+supET 23.8 200+550+APP 6+3500+10 xln3Plat 480+APP 17 9 50 29 ROOTCLOUD 91 1500 5400+50%+IDC ICT 22 IDC 21 3 APP 2020 1974 2019 14.77%6.11%6%20%23 24 Autodesk+12 2021 1847 Siemens NX Solid Edge Simcenter Teamcenter Simatic CAD PLM CAE MES 623 1981 CATIA Solidworks SIMULIA ENOVIA DELMIA 3D CAD PLM CAE 48.6 PTC 1985 Creo(Pro/Engineer)WindChill CAD PLM 18.07 Autodesk 1982 AutoCAD Inventor Revit Naviworks CAD BIM 37.91 SAP 1972 R/3 S/4HANA ERP SCM MES 278.42 Salesforce 1999 Sales Cloud Service Cloud CRM 212.52 1998 BIM BIM5D BIM 56.20 1988 NC Cloud YonBIP ERP 89.32 1993 EAS Cloud KIS ERP 41.74 1998 ZWCAD ZW3D ZWSim-EM ZWSim-Structural CAD CAE 6.19 3.1 CAD CAE CAM EDA PLM 2019 5%728.6810.2939.91082.51194.11299.414771720197411.20%16.01%15.17%10.31%8.82%13.67%16.45%14.77%0.00%2.00%4.00%6.00%8.00%10.00%12.00%14.00%16.00%18.00%050010001500200025002012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020中国工业软件产业规模(亿元)YoY28503000317533633531 37013893410743585.26%5.83%5.92%5.00%4.81%5.19%5.50%6.11%0.00%1.00%2.00%3.00%4.00%5.00%6.00%7.00%05001000150020002500300035004000450050002012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020E全球工业软件产业规模(亿美元)YoY 22 25 26 2019 CAD PLC/DCS/SCADA MES 2019 50%27 28 2019 MES ERP SCM FM CRM 2019 70%142.7165.5192.3223.90501001502002502018 2019 2020E 2021E32%20%18%18%6%6%达索 Autodesk 西门子 PTC Bentley 其他285.6331.9386.3448.90501001502002503003504004505002018 2019 2020E 2021E10%7%7%6%4%4%4%58%西门子 罗克韦尔 上海宝信 明基逐鹿中控技术 霍尼韦尔 GE 其他 23 29 30 2019 ERP MRO PHM APM 2022 MRO 100 8.6%2019 30%3.2 13 VS,1 Gartner ERP 79.1%2 SCM 3 MES 287.1333386.3448.10501001502002503003504004505002018 2019 2020E 2021E33%20%14%8%6%5%4%10%SAP Oracle 用友 IBM金蝶 神州数码 Infor 其他 24 4 CIMDATA2015 90%14 ERP SAP Oracle SCM SAP Oracle JDA MES SAP PTC Autodesk Gartner CIMDATA CAD CAD CAD CAD CAE/CAM CAD CAD CAE/CAM 2D CAD 2019 2D CAD 20%3D CAD CAD 15 CAD ZWCAD 2020 2D CAD 499-1224 4363-10702 ZW3D 2020 3D CAD 2500-5800 21858-33225 GStartCAD 2D CAD 799-1099 5695-7833 CAXA CAD 2D CAD 3680-5800 3680-5800 CAXA 3D 3D CAD 29800 29800 AutoCAD 2D CAD 210 127/102/8724-17962 SolidWorks 3D CAD 3995-7995 28475-56986 DCS SIS MES APP APP APP 25 31 16 APP APP APP APP ISA95 ISA95 APP PaaS API APP 1“3.0+4.0”1 DCS SIS 2/26 3 RTDB APC MES OTS 4 32 33 2017-2022H1 34 2017-2022H1 21Q4 1 2 3 4 24%19%25%43%47%0%5%10%15%20%25%30%35%40%45%50%0102030405060702017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022E收入(亿元)YoY79%81%80%74%72%68%9%8%8%11%11%12%8%7%7%8%8%10%0%20%40%60%80%100%2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022H1智能制造 解决方 案 自动化仪 表 工业软件 及服务S2B 平台 运维服务 其他 27 2 CAD 2D 3DCAD 2DCAD 3DCAD 90 CAD CAD 1 2D CAD ZWCAD ZWCAD ZWCAD 2D CAD CAD CAD 2 3D CAD/CAM ZW3D 2-5/2D 3D CAD/CAM 35 2017-2022H1 36 2017-2022H1 2D 3DCAD 2DCAD 3DCAD 90 CAD 17+ERP SaaS PLC+1.692.503.474.465.831.8248.22%38.96%28.52%30.77%-6.71%-10%0%10%20%30%40%50%60%012345672017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022H1自产软件收入(亿元)YoY91.66%97.95%96.14%97.82%94.29%93.56%0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022H1自产软件 其他 28 3 ERP BIP PLM MES ERP 30 ERP MES PLM ERP MES PLM 37 ERP PLM MES“”2021 3.0 5G+29 38 18 PLM AIoT 297 142 APP2.2 2476 6600 30 39 2021 40 IDC iFinD 4 IDC MES ERP IDC IDC 19+ERP SaaS PLC+IDC IaaS PaaS SaaS 6.80%5.40%4.40%4.10%3.70%75.70%华为 阿里巴巴 百度 用友 树根互联 其他63.44 77.03 85.10 85.25 89.32 55.95 24%21%10%0%5%13%0%5%10%15%20%25%30%01020304050607080901002017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022Q1-3营业收入(亿元)YoY(右轴)31 41 2017-2022H1 42 2022H1 MES ERP 2020 xln3Plat iPlat ePlat 2022 5 xIn3Plat 480+App 17 9 50 29“”IDC 2012 IaaS PaaS SaaS 5 IDC IDC 5 ERP PLM SCADA APS 20 aPaaS SaaS CAD EDA CAE PLM MES/MOM ERP Know-how 0%5%10%15%20%25%30%35%40%45%0204060801001201402017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022H1营业收入(亿元)YoY70.06%28.73%0.97%0.23%软件开发及工程服务 服务外包 系统集成 其他业务 32 43 2017-2022H1 44 2022H1 5G 5G 2022 Know-how SCOP EMEP 6 SMOM IT ERP MES ERP 21 APS MES WMS SMOM ERP SAP ORACLE ERP-40%-20%0%20%40%60%80%100%120%140%160%180%0246810122017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022H1智能制造(亿元)智能电气(亿元)智能制造YoY 智能电气YoY39%21%14%15%7%3%1%5G 33 SMOM 1 2012 MES S-MOM 2 45 2017-2022H1 46 1000 15 TCL 1000 15 0%5%10%15%20%25%30%35%40%45%0246810121416182017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022H1软件实施开发服务(亿元)YoY0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%2018 2019 2020 2021 2022H1泛ERP 智能制造 34 2022 2016/17 2020 6-12 A 300 500 20%5-20%5%5%前沿报告库是中国新经济产业咨询报告共享平台。行业范围涵盖新一代信息技术、5G、物联网、新能源、新材料、新消费、大健康、大数据、智能制造等新兴领域。为企事业单位、科研院所、投融资机构等提供研究和决策参考。扫一扫免费获取海量报告
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