资源描述
2024 14 20.2%20.4%4 30 24 PE 12X 14X 3.5%2023 5 27 ARAUCO 3+12.75%+18.46%5 300/5 27 1,422 2,608 3,629/1.46%1.93%1.33%23 7.8+66.9%2023-30%-20%-10%0%10%20%300 .24Q1.3 20%+.4.6.9.11.12.14.XVFUzQsPoNmNtNtQmRrOqRaQ8Q8OpNqQtRmQeRqQnQlOsRmMbRnNwOxNnQqQxNmNpM 2 3 Q 2 2 4 Q 1 2023 544.02 0.93%24Q1 88.28 5.65%23Q1 2023 50.45 8.3%24Q1 2.52 62.18%2023 34.99%1.78 pct 21.88%0.37 pct 9.27%0.63 pct 24Q1/31.38%/27.44%/2.86%+0.97 pct/-0.08 pct/+1 pct-3.9 pct/+5.35 pct/-4.81 pct 0%1%2%3%4%5%6%01002003004005006002021 2022 2023 2024Q1 YOY0%20%40%60%80%100%01020304050602021 2022 2023 2024Q1 YOY-20%-15%-10%-5%0%5%10%15%050100150200 YOY-60%-40%-20%0%20%40%60%80%-20-100102030 YOY 2 0%+2023 414.45 4.45%24Q1 91.32 13.06%1 2 23 6.84%46.49%2023 30.42 24.93%24Q1 6.02 22.03%0%10%20%30%40%2021 2022 2023 2024Q1-5%0%5%10%15%2021 2022 2023 2024Q1-20%-10%0%10%20%30%40%-5%0%5%10%15%NE8RVGT5Gg8dFjyG57EWbpKvZxvDHl7CnYBIQwX/6MMLomZ1lw0jECDlhqTbvraQ 2023 36.57%3.09 pct 26.32%1.46 pct 7.34%1.2 pct 24Q1/36.48%/27.74%/6.59%+1.56 pct/+0.31 pct/+0.48 pct-1.79 pct/-0.65 pct/+0.88 pct-5%0%5%10%15%01002003004005002021 2022 2023 2024Q1 YOY0%5%10%15%20%25%30%051015202530352021 2022 2023 2024Q1 YOY-20%-10%0%10%20%020406080100120140 YOY-100%-50%0%50%100%150%200%250%024681012 YOY0%10%20%30%40%2021 2022 2023 2024Q1 0%5%10%15%20%25%2021 2022 2023 2024Q1 24 2024 14 2.93 20.2%1.89 20.4%4 0.66 22.84%0.36 19.1%24 14 4 30 30 5 17 3,000 2024.4.30 0%10%20%30%40%50%-5%0%5%10%15%20%25%-60%-40%-20%0%20%40%60%80%100%120%051015202020-022020-052020-082020-112021-022021-052021-082021-112022-022022-052022-082022-112023-022023-052023-082023-112024-02:-30%-20%-10%0%10%20%30%40%50%024681012:2024.5.6 1 2024.5.17 3,000 2024.5.21 1 1 1 2024.5.27 2024 14 447 2.5%4 110 1.2%&1 2 a.b.c.-40%-20%0%20%40%60%80%05001,0001,5002,0002020-022020-052020-082020-112021-022021-052021-082021-112022-022022-052022-082022-112023-022023-052023-082023-112024-02:-40%-20%0%20%40%60%80%0501001502002502020M122020M52020M82020M112021M32021M62021M92021M122022M42022M72022M102023M122023M52023M82023M112024M3:2021 2022 2023 2024Q1 YOY YOY YOY YOY 75.29+24.22%71.73-4.73%70.31-1.99%10.68-1.62%101.72+76.24%121.39+19.34%119.49-1.56%19.06-3.55%12.36+60.36%13.46+8.85%13.78+2.42%2.17 4.96%14.20+17.25%12.72-10.41%12.44-2.23%82.69+23.38%91.77+10.98%94.11+2.54%4.58+56.86%4.34-5.26%5.89+35.73%29.34+17.43%27.37-6.73%28.38+3.69%3.16-0.71%17.60+54.25%21.03+19.49%25.05+19.15%3.84 8.83%1.70+291.53%2.28+34.17%4.10+79.92%0.45 11.61%24.80+19.62%23.63-4.71%22.32-5.55%3.89 7.63%8.00+60.33%9.61+20.09%10.44+8.65%1.90 19.91%0.84+242.17%1.49+77.27%2.46+64.97%0.25-14.88%92.67+44.51%89.72-3.19%93.50+4.21%33.38+42.75%35.57+6.58%41.04+15.36%6.60+44.80%7.62+15.35%8.80+15.57%32.19+34.33%27.28-15.25%25.81-5.39%17.93+52.94%17.10-4.63%16.66-2.57%8.99+114.43%5.19-42.30%5.07-2.31%4.50 4.34-3.57%39.61+38.74%40.48 2.19%50.17+23.94%24.20+70.02%26.90 11.15%26.61-1.05%10.54+46.88%9.02-14.45%7.70-14.63%24Q1 60%23 20%2021 2022 2023 2024Q1 YOY YOY YOY YOY 5.87 47.33%7.06 20.12%8.29 17.44%1.49 66.95%156.80 40.20%175.82 12.13%175.75-0.04%26.20-4.95%36.73 36.92%34.95-4.85%35.86 2.61%6.95 18.78%3.42 36.94%2.77-19.06%3.15 13.58%83.60 27.99%92.25 10.34%96.27 4.36%16.04 6.64%15.25-4.91%14.51-4.86%3.22 39.01%3.97 23.04%4.70 18.52%0.97 13.24%28.30 26.90%29.00 2.48%31.24 7.75%4.57-1.78%16.51 40.59%16.57 0.36%20.09 21.22%1.47 9.66%1.50 31.86%0.44 66.61%1.92 0.78%1.27-34.09%0.96-24.05%0.05-65.34%18.78 33.28%18.34-2.37%18.81 2.58%2.86-5.32%11.45 28.22%12.80 11.78%12.76-0.29%2.34 24.73%1.64 51.37%2.34 43.16%2.74 16.92%0.81 68.23%107.12 40.05%103.04-3.82%109.35 6.13%69.18 48.68%70.34 1.68%75.15 6.84%44.47 38.91-12.51%41.64 7.03%8.80 7.98-9.32%10.31 29.18%39.56 64.02%36.13-8.67%36.86 2.00%25.98 17.36%26.50 1.99%30.89 16.60%10.98 63.26%14.78 34.62%18.04 22.00%12X 14X 3.5%603833.SH 002572.SZ 603801.SH 603180.SH 603816.SH 001323.SZ 603008.SH 603195.SH 23 2023 1,067.78 7.22%24Q1 267.39 2.15%2023 11.66 67.4%23Q1/23Q2/23Q3/23Q4/24Q1-1.61/3.03/7.23/3.01/8.95 23Q4 0510152025300%1%2%3%4%5%6%7%2023 11.41%2.34 pct 9.82%0.5 pct 1.09%2.02 pct 24Q1/13.96%/9.41%/3.35%+4.41 pct/-0.66 pct/+3.96 pct+1.18 pct/-0.23 pct/+2.25 pct 2023-10%-5%0%5%10%15%02004006008001,0001,2001,4002021 2022 2023 2024Q1 YOY-80%-60%-40%-20%0%0204060802021 2022 2023 2024Q1 YOY-15%-10%-5%0%5%10%15%20%25%050100150200250300350 YOY-120%-100%-80%-60%-40%-20%0%-10010203040 YOY0%5%10%15%20%25%2021 2022 2023 2024Q1 0%1%2%3%4%2021 2022 2023 2024Q1 2023 371.19 13.56%24Q1 84.22 4.26%2023-1.18 94.59%24Q1 0.39-5%0%5%10%15%20%25%30%0%1%2%3%4%5%-15%-10%-5%0%5%10%01002003004005002021 2022 2023 2024Q1 YOY-30-20-1001020302021 2022 2023 2024Q1-30%-20%-10%0%10%20%020406080100120140 YOY-25-20-15-10-50510 2023 9.44%2.36 pct 11.4%1.43 pct-0.32%4.76 pct 24Q1/9.88%/11.49%/0.47%+2.56 pct/-1.74 pct/+4.89 pct-1.65 pct/+0.42 pct/-0.88 pct 2023 407.85 0.96%24Q1 98.34 6.72%2023 16 11.27%24Q1 6.59 150.52%-10%-5%0%5%10%15%2021 2022 2023 2024Q1 0%1%2%3%4%5%2021 2022 2023 2024Q1-30%-20%-10%0%10%20%0%1%2%3%4%5%6%2 3 Q 2 2023 12.15%1.33 pct 7.44%0.27 pct 3.92%0.54 pct 24Q1/15.3%/7.75%/6.7%+4.45 pct/+0.54 pct/+3.85 pct+0.18 pct/+0.74 pct/+1.08 pct 0%5%10%15%20%01002003004005002021 2022 2023 2024Q1 YOY-50%0%50%100%150%200%05101520252021 2022 2023 2024Q1 YOY-20%-10%0%10%20%30%40%50%020406080100120 YOY-100%-50%0%50%100%150%200%0246810 YOY0%5%10%15%20%2021 2022 2023 2024Q1 0%1%2%3%4%2021 2022 2023 2024Q1&2024 5 27 ARAUCO 840 770 690/3+12.75%+18.46%0%6,421.43 5,752.27 4,050/3+8.11%+9.73%-3.57%2024 5 27 5,725 5,690 4,350/-1.93%-2.23%-0.91%5 6 1 300/0%5%10%15%20%25%-1%0%1%2%3%4%5%4006008001,0001,200 ARAUCO()ARAUCO()ARAUCO()3,0004,0005,0006,0007,0008,0002020-012020-042020-072020-102021-012021-042021-072021-102022-012022-042022-072022-102023-012023-042023-072023-102024-012024-04 2024 5 27 1,422/1.46%2,608/1.93%3,629/1.33%&23 7.8+66.9%002078.SZ 605377.SH 603733.SH 2022 2023 4,0005,0006,0007,0008,0009,00010,00011,000 1,0001,2001,4001,6001,8002,0002,2002,4002,6002020-012020-042020-072020-102021-012021-042021-072021-102022-012022-042022-072022-102023-012023-042023-072023-102024-012024-04 2,5003,0003,5004,0004,5005,0005,5002020-012020-042020-072020-102021-012021-042021-072021-102022-012022-042022-072022-102023-012023-042023-072023-102024-012024-04 2024 CPI 3.1%2022Q1 2022Q2 2022Q3 2022Q4 2023Q1 2023Q2 2023Q3 2023Q4 2024Q1当期营收 14.27 13.82 13.10 13.37 12.67 13.76 14.92 19.38 18.42YOY-4.07%-19.29%-4.84%-3.91%-11.18%-0.38%13.92%44.98%45.30%当期营收 6.81 6.34 6.37 5.18 5.59 7.11 6.46 5.45 6.88YOY 27.78%0.34%9.13%-6.23%-17.97%12.16%1.43%5.18%23.14%当期营收 10.08 12.02 9.77 8.67 6.97 8.40 9.64 10.38 8.57YOY-5.46%-10.10%-7.06%-27.91%-30.90%-30.17%-1.38%19.70%22.96%当期营收 14.01 15.51 16.78 18.85 16.94 19.50 21.32 24.19 23.54YOY 35.66%12.78%7.36%4.31%20.84%25.72%27.09%28.34%38.98%当期营收 7.64 7.85 7.64 8.96 7.96 8.82 10.07 12.16 11.22YOY 15.83%6.38%8.63%16.20%4.29%12.34%31.90%35.73%40.83%当期营收 11.38 12.14 9.90 8.45 8.08 10.74 12.08 12.44 11.53YOY 6.67%-1.08%-17.97%-30.29%-29.00%-11.57%22.11%47.27%42.68%当期营收 4.62 3.20 3.27 3.54 4.28 5.18 5.09 4.67 5.59YOY 1.06%-39.01%-35.62%-18.77%-7.43%61.74%55.83%32.00%30.66%当期营收 7.44 6.89 6.78 5.51 6.97 8.26 8.63 7.17 7.56YOY 14.05%2.17%-20.24%-30.11%-6.37%19.89%27.18%29.99%8.48%当期营收 1.83 2.74 3.79 4.23 2.42 4.11 5.75 5.47 4.32YOY 131.21%97.14%116.24%120.35%32.46%49.75%51.82%29.21%78.20%当期营收 1.14 1.14 1.39 1.33 1.19 1.57 1.75 1.86 1.65YOY 23.48%-2.08%8.93%2.37%4.98%38.08%26.14%39.83%38.33%当期营收 7.93 9.19 7.74 6.95 6.05 7.90 7.99 7.90 6.81YOY 49.30%36.99%-2.69%-29.09%-23.72%-13.99%3.14%13.71%12.61%当期营收 4.15 5.80 5.85 3.96 3.28 4.39 4.62 4.91 4.99YOY 35.82%111.83%79.19%20.48%-20.82%-24.29%-21.07%24.20%52.03%当期营收 5.65 7.30 6.03 5.30 3.62 5.74 7.69 7.01 5.75YOY 15.67%24.93%2.54%-27.23%-35.90%-21.35%27.67%32.36%58.58%当期营收 21.43 19.40 19.85 19.49 16.99 19.02 21.15 22.60 18.19YOY 13.46%-3.54%-10.21%-3.92%-20.74%-1.95%6.55%15.96%7.08%当期营收 3.50 1.98 2.36 1.70 1.88 2.43 3.01 2.60 2.46YOY 40.36%-13.65%-33.75%-27.42%-46.23%22.30%27.51%53.05%30.67%当期营收 4.24 4.40 6.45 3.77 4.27 5.77 5.24 5.08 5.04YOY 14.97%-2.59%25.68%-27.48%0.72%31.26%-18.74%34.60%17.90%当期营收 3.30 3.06 1.68 1.42 2.40 2.90 1.41 1.52 2.73YOY 46.61%13.16%-1.19%-19.79%-27.23%-5.12%-15.80%6.70%13.83%002615.SZ哈尔斯603313.SH梦百合001222.SZ源飞宠物301335.SZ天元宠物605080.SH浙江自然301193.SZ家联科技301376.SZ致欧科技605099.SH共创草坪603600.SH永艺股份603661.SH恒林股份300729.SZ乐歌股份603408.SH建霖家居301061.SZ匠心家居603610.SH麒盛科技301004.SZ嘉益股份605155.SH西大门603992.SH松霖科技0%1%2%3%4%5%6%7%8%3504004505005506006507007502000-062001-062002-062003-062004-062005-062006-062007-062008-062009-062010-062011-062012-062013-062014-062015-062016-062017-062018-062019-062020-062021-062022-062023-06:2022 6.6 9.4%3 16.4%CAGR 2025 10.4 2022 3 4 17.4%11.4%301376.SZ 603661.SH 300729.SZ 0%5%10%15%20%25%30%35%0246810122017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023E 2024E 2025E YOY23.3%21.8%17.4%11.4%6.5%19.7%3C .12 8 6 12 A 300 50 10%-5%10%5%20%5%20%-5%5%5%
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