资源描述
| 2018 10 27 2019 19 + / - 2019 150% 100% 80% 45% 2019 19 3000 19 2300-2700 2017 2019 19 20% S0680518080002 liuyugszq 1 58 2018-10-26 2 20181025 2018-10-25 3 20181024 2018-10-24 4 20181023 2018-10-24 5 2019 2018-10-22 2018 10 27 P.2 2019 .3 .5 .7 1 31 2019 % .4 2 31 2019 % .5 3 31 2019 % .5 4 2019 % .6 5 31 2019 % .6 6 31 2019 % .7 2018 10 27 P.3 2019 31 2019 2019 2018 2018 2018 1 2018 2 2018 13-17 2018 17 3 2018 16 17 1 + = + /( - ) 2 = /( - ) 3 = + + + 4 = + + + + + + + + + 5 = + + 6 = + 19 + / - 2019 150% 62.5% 19 5000 19 15478 100% 3253 19 2702 19 4749 19 4000 19 2300-2650 80% 19 2534 19 6182 45% 2019 2018 10 27 P.4 1 31 2019 % Wind 省份 18年综合 财力 18年广义 刚性支出 19年（地方债+ 城投债）还本 付息总额 19年城投债 还本付息 19年城投债还本 付息/(综合财力- 广 义刚性支出) 19年（地方债+ 城 投债）还本付息总 额/(综合财力-广义 刚性支出) 湖南 7589.52 4746.49 5245.70 3999.31 140.67% 184.51% 江苏 16607.01 6825.16 15477.90 14033.44 143.46% 158.23% 天津 4006.68 1804.71 3253.27 2494.51 113.29% 147.74% 云南 5877.58 3920.54 2702.24 1818.90 92.94% 138.08% 四川 9571.95 5861.02 4748.69 3254.81 87.71% 127.96% 重庆 6011.35 2674.82 4082.30 3506.51 105.09% 122.35% 陕西 5438.80 3147.96 2641.52 1497.43 65.37% 115.31% 辽宁 5741.53 3399.19 2508.07 991.05 42.31% 107.08% 广西 5557.16 3366.61 2312.92 1699.34 77.58% 105.59% 江西 5992.71 3438.29 2475.51 1822.64 71.35% 96.91% 青海 1537.83 851.83 664.20 188.38 27.46% 96.82% 浙江 11882.86 5091.46 6181.61 4694.86 69.13% 91.02% 贵州 5638.53 2788.84 2534.35 1566.17 54.96% 88.93% 宁夏 1462.27 756.72 590.31 129.89 18.41% 83.67% 湖北 8982.79 4606.06 3554.85 2580.35 58.96% 81.22% 福建 6394.38 2911.51 2667.51 1925.62 55.29% 76.59% 新疆 4844.50 2549.13 1678.29 1033.75 45.04% 73.12% 北京 8672.00 4324.20 2908.12 2200.73 50.62% 66.89% 山东 12896.02 6196.24 4423.26 2706.55 40.40% 66.02% 甘肃 3550.01 2112.05 942.93 593.12 41.25% 65.57% 山西 4296.91 2403.39 1169.38 767.36 40.53% 61.76% 河南 10434.47 5763.66 2877.79 2062.74 44.16% 61.61% 吉林 3931.09 2242.75 1001.46 651.59 38.59% 59.32% 安徽 9319.84 4063.07 3077.67 2475.81 47.10% 58.55% 内蒙古 4751.45 2184.39 1409.53 502.31 19.57% 54.91% 黑龙江 4889.18 2794.28 1039.48 494.84 23.62% 49.62% 海南 1898.62 775.10 518.08 83.68 7.45% 46.11% 河北 9039.75 4279.23 1919.78 766.34 16.10% 40.33% 广东 18242.76 10175.43 3011.82 1979.12 24.53% 37.33% 上海 9672.98 4239.80 1811.43 1019.80 18.77% 33.34% 西藏 1932.84 1021.87 63.27 20.89 2.29% 6.95% 2018 10 27 P.5 2 31 2019 % Wind 2017 2019 17 86% 50.08% 95.06% 19 184.51% 127.96% 158.23% 50% 45% 2017 19 19 19 3 31 2019 % Wind 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 120% 140% 160% 180% 200% 0 2000 4000 6000 8000 10000 12000 14000 16000 18000 20000 18 19 + 19 + /( - ) -60% -40% -20% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 120% 17 19 2018 10 27 P.6 19 17 50% 45% 40% 30% 19 4 2019 % Wind 17 40% 30% 20% 5 31 2019 % Wind -60% -40% -20% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 0 2000 4000 6000 8000 10000 12000 14000 16000 17 19 -30% -20% -10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 2018 10 27 P.7 6 31 2019 % Wind 省份 17年（地方债 +城投债）还 本付息总额 17年城 投债还 本付息 19年（地方债 +城投债）还 本付息总额 19年城投 债还本 付息 17年城投债 还本付息 /(综合财力- 刚性支出) 17年（地方债+ 城投债）还本 付息总额/(综合 财力-刚性支出) 19年城投债 还本付息/( 综 合财力-广义 刚性支出) 19年（地方债+ 城 投债）还本付息 总额/(综合财力- 广义刚性支出) 城投债偿债 压力变动 地方债和城投 债偿债压力变 动 湖南 2656.78 2560.50 5245.70 3999.31 82.88% 86.00% 140.67% 184.51% 57.79% 98.51% 四川 2601.26 2410.45 4748.69 3254.81 46.41% 50.08% 87.71% 127.96% 41.30% 77.88% 江苏 9877.51 9557.37 15477.90 14033.44 91.97% 95.06% 143.46% 158.23% 51.49% 63.18% 天津 2138.60 1875.98 3253.27 2494.51 80.49% 91.76% 113.29% 147.74% 32.79% 55.98% 云南 1785.77 1496.52 2702.24 1818.90 69.85% 83.35% 92.94% 138.08% 23.09% 54.72% 陕西 1455.45 1198.99 2641.52 1497.43 51.95% 63.06% 65.37% 115.31% 13.42% 52.24% 浙江 3566.68 3064.25 6181.61 4694.86 35.39% 41.20% 69.13% 91.02% 33.74% 49.82% 江西 1457.67 1286.96 2475.51 1822.64 41.57% 47.09% 71.35% 96.91% 29.78% 49.82% 重庆 2939.89 2792.46 4082.30 3506.51 72.66% 76.50% 105.09% 122.35% 32.43% 45.85% 贵州 1363.25 1115.61 2534.35 1566.17 40.16% 49.08% 54.96% 88.93% 14.80% 39.86% 宁夏 302.62 91.73 590.31 129.89 13.92% 45.92% 18.41% 83.67% 4.49% 37.74% 广西 1540.99 1328.28 2312.92 1699.34 61.39% 71.22% 77.58% 105.59% 16.18% 34.36% 湖北 2069.25 1843.06 3554.85 2580.35 43.16% 48.45% 58.96% 81.22% 15.80% 32.77% 北京 1929.48 1722.08 2908.12 2200.73 31.39% 35.17% 50.62% 66.89% 19.23% 31.72% 海南 179.14 44.88 518.08 83.68 4.25% 16.98% 7.45% 46.11% 3.19% 29.13% 河南 1716.82 1536.16 2877.79 2062.74 32.82% 36.68% 44.16% 61.61% 11.34% 24.93% 吉林 612.60 443.99 1001.46 651.59 25.97% 35.83% 38.59% 59.32% 12.63% 23.49% 山西 785.73 642.26 1169.38 767.36 31.74% 38.83% 40.53% 61.76% 8.79% 22.93% 辽宁 1833.12 1449.48 2508.07 991.05 66.56% 84.17% 42.31% 107.08% -24.25% 22.90% 山东 2869.61 2332.48 4423.26 2706.55 35.29% 43.42% 40.40% 66.02% 5.10% 22.60% 安徽 1916.78 1747.91 3077.67 2475.81 33.63% 36.88% 47.10% 58.55% 13.47% 21.67% 河北 1035.39 844.14 1919.78 766.34 18.27% 22.41% 16.10% 40.33% -2.18% 17.91% 内蒙古 920.61 641.56 1409.53 502.31 26.03% 37.35% 19.57% 54.91% -6.46% 17.56% 青海 480.91 293.14 664.20 188.38 48.47% 79.51% 27.46% 96.82% -21.00% 17.31% 新疆 1301.28 1041.50 1678.29 1033.75 46.39% 57.96% 45.04% 73.12% -1.35% 15.15% 黑龙江 713.44 551.76 1039.48 494.84 27.33% 35.34% 23.62% 49.62% -3.71% 14.28% 福建 2207.99 1860.71 2667.51 1925.62 54.13% 64.23% 55.29% 76.59% 1.16% 12.36% 广东 2303.19 1887.61 3011.82 1979.12 20.51% 25.02% 24.53% 37.33% 4.02% 12.31% 甘肃 772.23 635.77 942.93 593.12 44.60% 54.18% 41.25% 65.57% -3.36% 11.40% 上海 1280.62 1055.89 1811.43 1019.80 19.32% 23.43% 18.77% 33.34% -0.55% 9.91% 西藏 18.31 5.00 63.27 20.89 0.61% 2.23% 2.29% 6.95% 1.68% 4.71% 2018 10 27 P.8 “ ” ,
展开阅读全文