2019财年第二季度特斯拉汽车.pdf

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Tesla Second Quarter 2019 UpdateCash and cash equivalents of $5.0B; Operating cash flow less capex of $614M GAAP operating loss of $167M, GAAP net loss of $408M, including $117M of restructuring and other charges Auto gross margin at 19% in spite of reductions in vehicle ASP and lower regulatory credit revenue On track to launch Gigafactory Shanghai by end of 2019 and Model Y by fall of 2020. In the second quarter of 2019, we achieved record deliveries of 95,356 vehicles and record production of 87,048 vehicles, surpassing our previous quarterly records of 91,000 deliveries and 86,600 units produced in Q4 of 2018. This is an important milestone as it represents rapid progress in managing global logistics and delivery operations at higher volumes. As a result of this growth and operational improvements, we generated $614 million of free cash flow (operating cash flow less capex) in Q2. Combined with our public offering of equity and convertible bonds (net proceeds of $2.4 billion), we ended the quarter with $5.0 billion of cash and cash equivalents, the highest level in Teslas history. This level of liquidity puts us in a comfortable position as we prepare to launch Model 3 production in China and Model Y production in the US. As a result of our strong deliveries and continued progress on cost efficiencies, our GAAP net loss declined significantly compared to Q1. Autopilot and Full Self-Driving Features: As safety has always been a priority for us, Model 3 received the highest ever ratings in the Safety Assist category of Euro NCAPs new and more stringent testing protocols. New active safety features built on our Autopilot and Full Self-Driving (FSD) hardware and software suite contributed to this achievement. Development of new features continued in Q2 as we launched Navigate on Autopilot in new regions including Europe and China. We are making progress on our next major update: Enhanced Summon, which is currently in our early access program. We are making progress towards stopping at stop signs and traffic lights. This feature is currently operating in “shadow mode” in the fleet, which compares our software algorithm to real-world driver behavior across tens of millions of instances around the world. Our new FSD computer, which is 21x faster than our previous HW2.5 computer, has been in production since Q2. Model 3: In Q2, Model 3 deliveries reached an all-time record of 77,634. Not only was Model 3 once again the best-selling premium vehicle in the US, outselling all of its gas-powered equivalents combined, this product also gained traction in other markets. In Europe, Model 3 is approaching sales levels of established premium competitors. As we stated previously, more than 60% of Model 3 trade-ins are non-premium brands, indicating a larger total addressable market for this product than initially expected. Now that all current variants of Model 3 are available across North America, Europe and Asia, we are gaining insight into preferred customer trim mix. During the quarter, a majority of orders continued to be for a long-range battery option and the Model 3 average selling price (ASP) was stable at approximately $50,000. At the same time, manufacturing costs continued to decline. The production rate of Model 3 continued to improve gradually throughout the quarter, breaking a monthly record in May and then again in June. All manufacturing equipment in Fremont has demonstrated capability of a 7,000 Model 3 vehicles per week run rate, which we continue to work to increase. We aim to produce 10,000 total vehicles of all models per week by the end of 2019. Model S/X: Model S and Model X production continues to run on a single shift schedule, and we produced over 14,500 vehicles in Q2. Our deliveries increased sequentially to 17,722 as we continue to prioritize inventory reduction (working capital management). As a result, our total new car inventory levels have fallen to just 18 days of sales (including vehicles in transit, on ships and company owned vehicles), compared to the industrys typical US inventory level of 70 days of sales. Gigafactory Shanghai continues to take shape, and in Q2 we started to move machinery into the facility for the first phase of production there. This will be a simplified, more cost-effective version of our Model 3 line with capacity of 150,000 units per year the second generation of the Model 3 production process. Just like in the US, the Model 3 base price of RMB 328,000 is consistent with its gas-powered competitors, even before gas savings and incentives. Given Chinese customers bought well over a half million mid-sized premium sedans last year, this market poses a strong long-term opportunity for Tesla. We are looking forward to starting production in China by the end of this year. Depending on the timing of the Gigafactory Shanghai ramp, we continue to target production of over 500,000 vehicles globally in the 12-month period ending June 30, 2020. Model Y: Preparations for Model Y production in Fremont began in Q2. Due to a significant overlap of components between Model 3 and Model Y, we are able to leverage existing manufacturing designs in the development of the Model Y production facilities. Additionally, we are making progress managing Model Y cost with only a minimal cost premium expected over Model 3. Due to the large market size for SUVs, as well as higher ASPs, we believe Model Y will be a more profitable product than the Model 3. Infrastructure: As our fleet continues to grow, our service and Supercharger capacity continues to expand. In Q2, we added 101 vehicles to our Mobile Service fleet and opened 25 new store and service locations. While our customer fleet size has doubled in the past 12 months, our service losses remained stable year-on-year and service wait times have improved considerably. Supercharger capacity has grown to roughly 1,600 charging locations worldwide. In addition to the number of charging locations, we are also increasing the rate of throughput of vehicles. We expect the average charging session at our powerful V3 Superchargers will drop to around 15 minutes, which will effectively double the overall throughput rate per stall compared to our V2 Superchargers, easily keeping pace with our fleet growth. Energy: Powerwall and Powerpack deployment grew by 81% in the second quarter to a record 415 MWh. Powerwalls are now installed at more than 50,000 sites. Additional cell supply combined with our new module line designed by Tesla Grohmann enabled a step change in energy storage production. Solar retrofit deployments declined sequentially to 29 MW. We are in the process of improving many aspects of this business to increase deployments. OUTLOOK This quarter, we are simplifying our approach to guidance. We are most focused on expanding our manufacturing footprint in new regions, launching new products and continuing to improve the customer experience, while generating and using cash sustainably. Local production and improved utilization of existing factories is essential to be cost competitive in each region. We remain on track to launch local production of the Model 3 in China by the end of the year and Model Y in Fremont by fall of 2020. We are also accelerating our European Gigafactory efforts and are hoping to finalize a location choice in the coming quarters. We are working to increase our deliveries sequentially and annually, with some expected fluctuations from seasonality. This is consistent with our previous guidance of 360,000 to 400,000 vehicle deliveries this year. Additionally, we expect positive quarterly free cash flow, with possible temporary exceptions, particularly around the launch and ramp of new products. We believe our business has grown to the point of being self-funding. We continue to aim for positive GAAP net income in Q3 and the following quarters, although continuous volume growth, capacity expansion and cash generation will remain the main focus. Our 2019 capex is expected to be about $1.5 to $2.0 billion, a reduction from prior guidance. We continue to find opportunities to improve capital efficiency and shift cash outflows to future periods. This estimate includes the development of our main projects, on the timelines referenced, and to expand our Supercharger and service networks. Elon Musk Zachary KirkhornQ2 2019 RESULTS Revenue statements relating to the development, production, production rates, features and timing of existing and future Tesla products and technologies such as Model 3, Model Y, Autopilot and full self-driving features and Supercharger; statements regarding growth in the number of service center and Supercharger locations and in other service and repair capabilities; statements regarding growth of our energy business and the means to achieve such growth; statements regarding growing market opportunities for Tesla products and the catalysts for that growth; statements regarding product demand, volume, production, delivery, and market share; statements regarding revenue, cash availability and generation, cash flow, gross margin, product pricing, spending, capital expenditure and profitability targets; statements regarding productivity improvements, cost reductions and capacity expansion plans, such as for customer deliveries, logistics and vehicle servicing; statements regarding the Tesla Factory, Gigafactory Shanghai and timing of a future Gigafactory in Europe, including cost, project financing and timing, plans and output expectations, including those related to the launch of Model 3 and Model Y production; and statements regarding our investment in and the impact of changes to our customer delivery infrastructure, are “forward-looking statements” that are subject to risks and uncertainties. These forward-looking statements are based on managements current expectations, and as a result of certain risks and uncertainties, actual results may differ materially from those projected. The following important factors, without limitation, could cause actual results to differ materially from those in the forward-looking statements: the risk of delays in the manufacture, production, delivery and/or completion of our vehicles and energy products and product features, including Model 3 and our autonomous driving features; our ability to grow our production, sales, delivery and servicing capabilities, and manage future growth effectively, especially internationally; consumers willingness to adopt electric vehicles generally and our ability to design and grow simultaneous and separate market acceptance of and demand for our vehicles, including future vehicle models such as Model Y; the ability of suppliers to meet quality and part delivery expectations at increasing volumes, especially with respect to our high-volume models; our ability to sustain and further grow our ramp of battery cell, energy product and product component production at Gigafactory 1; our ability to bring online and ramp Gigafactory Shanghai in accordance with our plans; any failures by Tesla products to perform as expected or if product recalls occur; our ability to continue to reduce or control manufacturing and other costs; competition in the automotive and energy product markets generally and the alternative fuel vehicle market and the premium vehicle markets in particular; our ability to execute on our evolving strategy for product sales, service, charging and other customer infrastructure; the unavailability, reduction or elimination of government and economic incentives for electric vehicles and energy products; potential difficulties in performing and realizing potential benefits under definitive agreements for our existing and future manufacturing facilities; our ability to attract and retain key employees and qualified personnel; our ability to maintain the security of our information and product systems; our compliance with various regulations and laws applicable to our operations and products, which may evolve from time to time; risks relating to our indebtedness and financing strategies; and adverse foreign exchange movements. More information on potential factors that could affect our financial results is included from time to time in our Securities and Exchange Commission filings and reports, including the risks identified under the section captioned “Risk Factors” in our quarterly report on Form 10-Q filed with the SEC on April 29, 2019. Tesla disclaims any obligation to update information contained in these forward-looking statements whether as a result of new information, future events, or otherwise. Investor Relations Contact: Martin Viecha Investor Relations irtesla Press Contact: Keely Sulprizio Communications presstesla Tesla, Inc. Summary of Key Metrics (Unaudited) (In thousands, except metrics and per share data) Three Months Ended ChangeJune 30, March 31, June 30, 2019 2019 2018 QoQ YoYModel S/X production 14,517 14,163 24,761 2% -41%Model 3 production 72,531 62,975 28,578 15% 154%Model S/X deliveries 17,722 12,091 22,319 47% -21%of which subject to lease accounting 1,820 1,363 2,354 34% -23%Model 3 deliveries 77,634 50,928 18,449 52% 321%of which subject to lease accounting 4,322 N/A N/A Global vehicle inventory (days of sales) (1) 18 30 55 -40% -67%Solar deployed (MW) 29 47 84 -38% -65%Storage deployed (MWh) 415 229 203 81% 104%Residential solar cash & loan (%) 70% 73% 68 % -300bp 200bpStore and service locations 402 377 346 7% 16%Mobile service fleet 651 550 340 18% 91%Supercharger stations 1,587 1,490 1,308 7% 21%Supercharger connectors 13,881 12,767 10,622 9% 31%Destination charging connectors 23,160 22,399 19,203 3% 21%Automotive revenues $ 5,376,389 $ 3,723,861 $ 3,357,681 44% 60%of which regulatory credits 111,219 215,981 54,011 -49% 106%Automotive gross profit 1,016,304 750,560 691,027 35% 47%Automotive gross margin 18.9% 20.2% 20.6 % -125bp -168bpTotal revenues $ 6,349,676 $ 4,541,464 $ 4,002,231 40% 59%Total gross profit 921,046 565,743 618,930 63% 49%Total GAAP gross margin 14.5% 12.5% 15.5 % 205bp -96bpOperating expenses $ 1,088,504 $ 1,087,574 $ 1,240,322 0% -12%Loss from operations (167,458) (521,831) (621,392 ) -68% -73%Operating margin -2.6% -11.5% -15.5 % 885bp 1,289bpLoss from operations $ (167,458) $ (521,831) $ (621,392 ) -68% -73%Other (expense) income, net (40,756) 25,750 50,911 -258% -180%Depreciation, amortization and impairments 578,572 467,577 485,255 24% 19%EBITDA $ 370,358 $ (28,504) $ (85,226 ) -1399% -535%Net loss per share attributable to common stockholders, dilute
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