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FEBRUARY 2019 22209 Intelligent connectivity report.indd 1 14/02/2019 19:482 GSMA | gsma/ic | gsma FOREWORD The combination of 5G, artificial intelligence (AI), smart platforms and the Internet of Things (IoT) form the basis of what we call Intelligent Connectivity. With more than 5.1 billion unique subscribers and nearly 9 billion connections globally, mobile is already one of the most widely deployed technology platforms ever. However, Intelligent Connectivity takes this further and marks the beginning of an era of highly contextualised and personalised experiences, underpinned by ubiquitous hyper connectivity. It is set to impact almost every aspect of our daily lives from the way we consume entertainment to the way in which we learn and interact with colleagues. It will give people the information they need in an instant making our lives more productive and efficient. It will impact how entire industries innovate and operate, how societies interact and thrive and how economies flourish. We will watch live sports coverage in ultra-high definition via Augmented or Virtual Reality headsets and see the game from an athletes perspective; our cities will deploy traffic control systems that use 5G connectivity to instruct vehicles when to slow down and when to accelerate removing the need for traffic lights and speed cameras. We will see smart platforms powered by (AI) and machine learning will enable us to make improved decisions and deliver higher quality products and services. 5G is already on the way with commercial launches expected this year in the United States, China, South Korea and the UAE. GSMA Intelligence forecasts that there will be more than 1.3 billion 5G connections globally by 2025, covering 40% of the global population. 5G networks will underpin this revolution. It is an opportunity to create an agile, purpose-built network tailored to the different needs of citizens and the economy. It will improve network capacity, throughput and responsiveness. However, it is imperative that all stakeholders work together to ensure that 5G is successfully standardised, regulated and brought to market. Underpinned by hyper connectivity and low power wide area IoT networks, the fusion of these groundbreaking technologies will change everything, improving our lives in many different ways and intelligently connecting everyone and everything to better future. Foreword by Mats Granryd Director General, GSMA 22209 Intelligent connectivity report.indd 2 14/02/2019 19:483 GSMA | gsma/ic | gsma CONTENTS Foreword . 2 Executive summary .4 Introduction . 5 Entertainment gets rich and social . 9 Safe and swift transportation . 10 The dawn of industry 4.0 .11 Reliable remote control .12 Information and offers on-demand .13 Continuous health monitoring .14 Smarter and sharper security .15 Immersive education and training .16 Waste not, want not .17 Smarter cities and buildings .18 Conclusions .19 22209 Intelligent connectivity report.indd 3 14/02/2019 19:484 GSMA | gsma/ic | gsma EXECUTIVE SUMMARY The potent combination of 5G, artificial intelligence, smart platforms and the Internet of Things will change the world. Drawing on interviews with mobile operators, investors and analysts, this report describes some of the exciting services and experiences that could be enabled by intelligent connectivity: Entertainment gets rich and social - With 5G, digital entertainment is set become both richer and more social. High-speed wireless connectivity will deliver 4K and 8K video, holograms, augmented reality and virtual reality applications for gaming and immersive TV, while bringing people together to enjoy live events, such as sports and concerts. 5G could enable spectators to enjoy a 360-degree view from anywhere in the venue. Safe and swift transportation Vehicles and bikes will relay their position to other road users in real-time, enabling intelligent connectivity to instruct vehicles when to slow down and when to accelerate, thereby removing the need for traffic lights, speed cameras and other systems. The dawn of Industry 4.0 - Intelligent connectivity is set to drive a fourth industrial revolution in which computers and robots continually optimise production and maintenance in highly flexible factories and plants. 5G will deliver ultra- reliable and low latency connectivity by employing edge computing and network slicing, which allows specific services to be prioritised. Reliable remote control - In both their personal and professional lives, individuals are going to have much closer control over their assets. Tactile Internet applications will become increasingly viable, allowing for the perception and manipulation of remote objects using touch and proprioception. Information and offers on-demand - People will have easy access to an increasingly intelligent personal assistant in the cloud, while connected glasses or contact lenses will display personalised information and offers. Continuous health monitoring - Individuals will routinely wear connected wellness and security monitors providing continuous information about their vital signs, while enabling emergency alerts in the event of a fall or an attack. 5G will help healthcare managers to maximise the use of scarce resources and ensure that clinics dont run out of critical medicines and equipment. Smarter and sharper security - Continuously connected cameras, sensors and alarms will make both private properties and public places more secure, while cloud-based facial recognition systems could be used identify and spot offenders in real time. Immersive education and training - trainee engineers, mechanics and medics could learn how to perform specific tasks by following instructions relayed via AR or by using VR simulations. Similarly, 5G could enable these technologies to be used to teach science and geography students about specific habitats and environments. Waste not, want not Consumers and companies will have real-time information on everything from soil acidity to water pollution to the availability of parking spaces, increasing efficiency and reducing waste, while better managing energy usage. Smarter cities and buildings - Connected sensors and actuators will give municipalities, organisations and individual citizens the ability to monitor what is happening in and around their properties and control access. 22209 Intelligent connectivity report.indd 4 14/02/2019 19:495 GSMA | gsma/ic | gsma INTRODUCTION The rollout of intelligent connectivity The first 5G mobile networks are now being deployed, paving the way for a new era of intelligent connectivity, characterised by a dramatic expansion of the Internet of Things (IoT) and extensive use of artificial intelligence (AI). The real-world data collected by the IoT will fuel machine learning, enabling greater automation and improving decision-making. The combination of 5G, the IoT and AI will enhance the quality of products and services, drive a step-change in productivity and enable consumers and companies alike to make much more efficient use of the worlds resources. “If you are investing in tech companies, it is hard not to be excited by what intelligent connectivity will enable,” says Arnie Sriskandarajah, Head of Venture Capital, Round Hill Capital. Drawing on interviews with experts from mobile operators, including Deutsche T elekom, KT Corp, T elefonica and Vodafone, and the investment community, this report describes some of the most compelling services and experiences that will be enabled by a fusion of 5G, AI and IoT. The first 5G deployments Worldwide, 79 mobile operators have announced plans to launch 5G services (see Figure 1). As a result, more than 50 countries are set to benefit from 5G services before the end of 2020. Vastly improving network capacity, throughput and responsiveness, 5G will enable mobile operators to tailor connectivity to the application and change daily life for the better in many different ways. Source: GSMA Intelligence Figure 1 GSMA Intelligence forecasts there will be more than 50 5G networks worldwide by 2021 #MWC19 #MWC19 #MWC19 #MWC19 5G launched Launch planned Operators have announced plans to launch 5G mobile services* Countries launching 5G mobile services by the end of 2020 79 50+ 22209 Intelligent connectivity report.indd 5 14/02/2019 19:496 GSMA | gsma/ic | gsma The first 5G networks are now live in the US and South Korea. SK Telecom, KT and LG Uplus simultaneously turned on their 5G networks at midnight on 1 December 2018. Although these initial services have limited coverage and are only available for businesses using mobile routers, the Korean operators plan to offer nationwide coverage from March 2019 as 5G handsets become available. At the time of the launch, SKT said it had installed 4,100 5G base stations and plans to roll out more than 7,000 by the end of 2019, expanding coverage to 85 cities. In December 2018, AT&T also announced its 5G network was live in parts of 12 cities, as it began distributing its first 5G device: the NETGEAR Nighthawk 5G Mobile Hotspot. Media reports say that AT&T has demonstrated 5G speeds of around 140 Mbps: about three times faster than a typical 4G connection. AT&T has said it will begin selling the hot spot for $499 in the spring and will offer a 5G 15GB data plan costing $70 per month. It plans to launch two Samsung 5G smartphones this year, ahead of the deployment of a nationwide mobile 5G network in early 2020. That network will allow for seamless handoffs between Wi-Fi, LTE and 5G, AT&T says. Meanwhile, Verizon is preparing a mobile 5G launch after deploying a fixed wireless access service in October 2018. For the fixed wireless service, Verizon is using 5GTF, its own proprietary standard, but plans to deploy the official 3GPP NR standard for its mobile service. However, it could take many years for 5G to become ubiquitous. Analysts say that will require considerable investment in new infrastructure, particularly small cells, to ensure people and things can always get connected. But, there may be creative ways to share this investment. “I expect 5G and computing infrastructure to be rolled out a through a mix of public and private assets people could be rewarded for enabling public use of their femtocell combining 5G, WiFi and local processing power,” says Miles Kirby, the Managing Director of AV8 Ventures. “Cafes, restaurants and businesses will advertise that they have this infrastructure and service providers will reward them for its usage, just as buildings with solar panels can be rewarded for putting power back into the grid.” GSMA Intelligence anticipates 5G adoption will grow rapidly in the 2020s. By 2025, there could be almost 1.4 billion connections worldwide, up from about 200 million 5G connections in 2021. That would mean 5G would account for more than 15% of all mobile connections worldwide in 2025 (see Figure 2). Figure 2 Total 5G connections will rise rapidly over the next seven years 2018 2019 2020 5G connections 5G share 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 800 1,000 1,200 5G connections (million) 5G share of connections 1,400 600 200 400 0 20% 10% 15% 5% 0% Source: GSMA Intelligence. 5G connections excluding licensed cellular IoT and fixed wireless 22209 Intelligent connectivity report.indd 6 14/02/2019 19:497 GSMA | gsma/ic | gsma New services, new experiences Between them 4G, Wi-Fi and 5G should be able to deliver reliable, fast broadband connectivity almost everywhere and anytime. People will, quite literally, always have a broadband connection available, while download speeds of up to 1Gbps will enable a very high quality mobile Internet experience. As with 4G, 5G uses licensed spectrum, which means it isnt vulnerable to interference from other wireless signals and can provide highly secure connectivity. At the same time, the unprecedented responsiveness of 5G networks will enable both businesses and consumers to benefit from the so-called tactile Internet, in which people will have fingertip control over remote machines and devices. In many cases, operators will be able to all but eliminate network lag, making it straightforward for individuals to interact virtually with each other and the environment using virtual reality (VR) and augmented reality (AR). “5G will add new network capabilities to provide real-time or near-real-time services,” explains Pablo Iacopino, Director of Global TMT Ecosystem Research at GSMA Intelligence. “Autonomous cars and immersive gaming will require sub-second decisions that current 4G networks are not able to provide.” Indeed, low latency connectivity will enable vehicles and other machines to respond immediately to changes in their surroundings, supporting the rollout of self-driving cars, drones and robots (see Figure 3), while enabling an array of smart city
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